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RNI No. 72289/99 Registered No. DL(N)-06/236/2009-11   

NOVEMBER 16 - 30, 2009

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 SOME HAVE BABIES; OTHERS, REGRETS!
 (Part 7)  -
Philip P. Eapen

Author's webpage: http://philip.eapen.googlepages.com

In this series, Philip P. Eapen examines the claim
that the world is over-populated in the
light of biblical, historical, and scientific data

2.2.3. Extinction of Species and other Ecological Damage
Arguments to support population control keep changing. Latest in the line of evolving arguments is the ecological one. This argument is different from all the previous arguments in that its appeal is not based just on human welfare or prosperity but also on the welfare of other creatures.

“We must halt human population growth not just to ensure the well-being of humanity but to restore the interdependent biotic community in which we human beings must learn to see ourselves as members not masters.” (Frances Moore Lappé and Rachel Schurman, Taking Population Seriously (London: Earthscan Publications, 1989), 14-15.)

Humans are thus seen as pollutants on earth—pests that devour resources, destroy habitats, and drive various species to extermination. Human beings are also described as as a cancer on planet earth. (Lappé and Schurman cite the The Gaia Peace Atlas (ed. Frank Barnaby Pan, 1988) and The Gaia Atlas of Planet Management (ed. Norman Myers Pan, 1985).) At best, humans share the worth of attributed to the rest of creatures.

In 1979, The Sinking Ark (by Norman Myers (New York: Pergammon Press, 1979), highlighted species loss as a major adverse effect of the human encroachment into wildlife habitats. In it, Myers claimed that we were losing 40,000 species every year, over a 100 species every day. These claims found a place in the report Global 2000 prepared for the President of the USA and thus was widely circulated and accepted as the truth. (Gerald O. Barney, ed., The Global 2000 Report to the President of the U.S.:Entering the Twenty-first Century, vol. I-III (New York: Pergamon Press, 1980).) Alan Lovejoy’s predictions on an ecological disaster caused great alarm.

The report said, “What then is a reasonable estimate of global extinctions by 2000? In the low deforestation case, approximately 15 percent of the planet’s species can be expected to be lost. In the high deforestation case, perhaps as much as 20 percent will be lost. This means that of the 3-10 million species now present on the earth, at least 500,000-600,000 will be extinguished during the next two decades.” (p.133).

US vice-president Al Gore, Harvard biologist E. O. Wilson, and professor Paul Ehrlich quoted these and larger figures to get their message of conservation across. (Lomborg, The Skeptical Environmentalist, 249. According to Wilson, we are losing 27,000 to 100,000 species a year. Ehrlich raised the figure to 250,000 a year and predicted that all of Earth’s species would vanish by 2010-’25. [Nigel E. Stork, “Measuring Global Biodiversity and its Decline,” in Biodiversity II ed. Marjorie Reaka-Kudla and Don E. Wilson (Washington DC: Joseph Henry Press, 1997), 41-68.])

Simon asserts that the data on species loss projected by these biologists have nothing to do with reality. (Myers and Simon, Scarcity or Abundance, 36).. Lomborg’s research too reveals the same thing. (Lomborg, The Skeptical Environmentalist, 248ff.) The only published work that is cited is Myers’ Sinking Ark in which Myers bases his argument on guesses and suppositions—that the extinction rate might have reached a 100 species a year. Myers then makes a further leap in conjecture and arrives at a conclusion that the earth would loose a 100 species a day, during the latter part of twentieth century, due to "man-hand-ling of natural environments.” (p.5) Myers arrived at this figure by assuming that the final 25 years of the 20th century would witness the extinction of a million species. Thus, his argument is entirely circular—”if you assume 40,000, then you get 40,000,” as Lomborg states it.” (p. 252). Myers’ figure is “40,000 times greater than his own data, [and] 10,000 times the latest observed rate.” (Lomborg, p.252).

Scientists aver that there is no precise way of determining the exact number of species on earth let alone determining the rate of species extinction. Myers admits that there is “no way of knowing the actual extinction rate in the tropical forests, let alone an approximate guess.”(p.43) Yet, this does not stop Myers or other research biologists from making wild guesses. Lomborg cites examples of scientists who were worried about lack of sound data but did not dare to question the unscientific claims of senior scientists. He then concludes that these scientists are driven not by scientific temper but by desire to salvage their career through research grants. (Lomborg, p.254)

The World Conservation Union’s (International Union for the Conservation of Nature and Natural Resources) findings are sufficient to bring about a change in the minds of those biologists who claim that we are losing species at a high rate. IUCN found that only a “very small” number of mammals and birds have become extinct.V. H. Heywood and S. N. Stuart, “Species Extinctions in Tropical Forests,” in Tropical Deforestation and Species Extinction ed. T. C. Whitmore and J. A. Sayer (London: Chapman and Hall, 1992), 93.) These researchers have also found that there is “no clear-cut evidence” to prove that loss of 20 percent of the world’s rainforests since 1830s have resulted in the extinction of large number of species.

In spite of these and other findings, doomsday predictors have not been discouraged. Myers continued to stick to his figure of “50-150” extinctions per day even in 1999. (Norman Myers and Frans Lanting, “What we must do to counter the biotic holocaust,” International Wildlife 29/2 (1999) 30-9 ) Worse still, these biologists feel that they “don’t need to know how many species there are, how they are related to one another, or how many disappear annually to recognise that Earth’s biota is entering a gigantic spasm of extinction.” Ironically, this statement that rejects the importance of facts and figures appears in a book titled Betrayal of Science and Reason! (Paul R. Ehrlich and Anne H. Ehrlich Betrayal of Science and Reason: How Anti-Environmental Rhetoric Threatens Our Future (Washington, DC: Island Press, 1996), 112-13.) Biologists can indeed do a lot better with a little help from observed facts and reason.

Another facet of the world’s conservation movement is that the animals or plants that are highlighted as those in need for protection are very often those that enjoy human appeal. These could be the Asian elephant, the blue whale, or the Bengal tiger. We do not hear much about the need to conserve the majority of species in rainforests—beetles, insects, fungi, or bacteria. Conservationists might claim that the large mammals act as flagship species, and that their protection ensures the protection of other smaller, inconspicuous species. Interestingly, the highlighting of these large and appealing animals reveals the predominance of human interests over other species though we may be quick to disown any anthropocentric tendencies.

One of the arguments raised against human multiplication and expansion is that humans destroy wilderness and forest areas. The tropical rainforests are rich in biodiversity. Conservationists have therefore lobbied for the protection of rainforests. The theory that linked habitat area with the number of species was authored by biologist E. O. Wilson. According to this theory, if a habitat is reduced by 90 percent, the number of species will be cut down to 50 percent. This theory was first formulated for islands but was indiscriminately used for other ecosystems as well. The largest study of tropical biodiversity conducted in Puerto Rico by the US Department of Agriculture reveals how Wilson’s theory cannot be applied in every ecosystem. Ninety nine percent of the primary forest in Puerto Rico had been destroyed over a period of 400 years; yet, contrary to Wilson’s theory, only seven out of 60 bird species became extinct. In the case of Brazilian Atlantic rainforest, we are left with just twelve percent of what was in place two centuries ago. Wilson’s theory would predict the loss of fifty percent of all species. Yet, not a single plant or animal species became extinct as a result of this habitat loss. (K. S. Brown and G. G. Brown, “Habitat alteration and species loss in Brazilian forests,” in Tropical Deforestation and Species Extinction ed. T. C. Whitmore and J. A. Sayer (London: Chapman and Hall, 1992), 127. 119-42.)

Despite the conservationists propaganda to the contrary, there is mounting evidence to prove that the world’s forest cover is improving. FAO’s Production Yearbookis the only work to have calculated the area of forest cover from 1949 to 1994. According to the FAO, the global forest cover had increased from 40.24 million square kilometres in 1950 to 43.04 million square kilometres in 1994. Eighty percent of Brazilian Amazon rainforest is well preserved.

These facts should make us question the wisdom of allocating the world’s scarce resources for costly conservation projects when more urgent human development projects are delayed due to lack of funds. Large tracts of forests are declared as reserves. As a result, tribal societies and villagers who lived in forests and off forest resources for centuries are denied access to forests. In the name of biodiversity, people are portrayed as pests; without adequate facts to support claims of species extinction, human multiplication and expansion are condemned.

Documented Extinctions from the year AD 1600

Taxa of Species Approx. No since 1600 Total Extinctions
Vertebrates 47,000 321
Mammals 4,500 110
Birds 9,500 103
Reptiles 6,300 21
Amphibians 4,200 5
Fish 24,000 82
Molluscs 100,000 235
Crustaceans 4,000 9
Insects 1,000,000 98
Vascular Plants 250,000 396
Total 1,600,000 1,033

(Source: Lomborg, The Skeptical Environmentalist, 250. Table 6.)
 


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