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James
Delingpole is a writer, journalist and broadcaster who
is right about everything. He is the author of numerous
fantastically entertaining books including Welcome To
Obamaland: I've Seen Your Future And It Doesn't Work,
How To Be Right, and the Coward series of WWII adventure
novels. His website is
www.jamesdelingpole.com
If you own any shares in
alternative energy companies I should start dumping them
NOW. The conspiracy behind the Anthropogenic Global
Warming myth (aka AGW; aka ManBearPig) has been
suddenly, brutally and quite deliciously exposed after a
hacker broke into the computers at the University of
East Anglia's Climate Research Unit (aka CRU) and
released 61 megabytes of confidential files onto the
internet.
When you read some of those files including 1079 emails
and 72 documents you realise just why the boffins at CRU
might have preferred to keep them confidential. As
Andrew Bolt puts it, this scandal could well be “the
greatest in modern science”. These alleged emails
supposedly exchanged by some of the most prominent
scientists pushing AGW theory suggest:

Conspiracy, collusion in exaggerating warming data,
possibly illegal destruction of embarrassing
information, organised resistance to disclosure,
manipulation of data, private admissions of flaws in
their public claims and much more.
One of the alleged emails has a gentle gloat over the
death in 2004 of John L Daly (one of the first climate
change sceptics, founder of the Still Waiting For
Greenhouse site), commenting:
“In an odd way this is cheering news.”
But perhaps the most damaging revelations the scientific
equivalent of the Telegraph's MPs' expenses scandal are
those concerning the way Warmist scientists may
variously have manipulated or suppressed evidence in
order to support their cause.
Here are a few tasters.
Manipulation of evidence:
“I've just completed Mike's Nature trick of adding in
the real temps to each series for the last 20 years (ie
from 1981 onwards) and from 1961 for Keith's to hide the
decline.”
Private doubts about whether the world really is heating
up:
“The fact is that we can't account for the lack of
warming at the moment and it is a travesty that we
can't. The CERES data published in the August BAMS 09
supplement on 2008 shows there should be even more
warming: but the data are surely wrong. Our observing
system is inadequate.”
Suppression of evidence:
“Can you delete any emails you may have had with Keith
re Ar4?
Keith will do likewise. He's not in at the moment minor
family crisis.
Can you also email Gene and get him to do the same? I
don't have his new email address.
We will be getting Caspar to do likewise.”
Fantasies of violence against prominent Climate Sceptic
scientists:
“Next time I see Pat Michaels at a scientific meeting,
I'll be tempted to beat
the crap out of him. Very tempted.”
Attempts to disguise the inconvenient truth of the
Medieval Warm Period (MWP):
“……Phil and I have recently submitted a paper using
about a dozen NH records that fit this category, and
many of which are available nearly 2K backI think that
trying to adopt a timeframe of 2K, rather than the usual
1K, addresses a good earlier point that Peck made w/
regard to the memo, that it would be nice to try to
“contain” the putative “MWP”, even if we don't yet have
a hemispheric mean reconstruction available that far
back….”
And, perhaps most reprehensibly, a long series of
communications discussing how best to squeeze dissenting
scientists out of the peer review process. How, in other
words, to create a scientific climate in which anyone
who disagrees with AGW can be written off as a crank,
whose views do not have a scrap of authority.
“This was the danger of always criticising the skeptics
for not publishing in the “peer-reviewed literature”.
Obviously, they found a solution to thattake over a
journal! So what do we do about this? I think we have to
stop considering “Climate Research” as a legitimate
peer-reviewed journal. Perhaps we should encourage our
colleagues in the climate research community to no
longer submit to, or cite papers in, this journal. We
would also need to consider what we tell or request of
our more reasonable colleagues who currently sit on the
editorial board…What do others think?”
“I will be emailing the journal to tell them I'm having
nothing more to do with it until they rid themselves of
this troublesome editor.”“It results from this journal
having a number of editors. The responsible one for this
is a well-known skeptic in NZ. He has let a few papers
through by Michaels and Gray in the past. I've had words
with Hans von Storch about this, but got nowhere.
Another thing to discuss in Nice !”
Hadley CRU has form in this regard. In September I wrote
the story up here as “How the global warming industry is
based on a massive lie” - CRU's researchers were exposed
as having “cherry-picked” data in order to support their
untrue claim that global temperatures had risen higher
at the end of the 20th century than at any time in the
last millenium. CRU was also the organisation which in
contravention of all acceptable behaviour in the
international scientific community spent years
withholding data from researchers it deemed unhelpful to
its cause. This matters because CRU, established in 1990
by the Met Office, is a government-funded body which is
supposed to be a model of rectitude. Its HadCrut record
is one of the four official sources of global
temperature data used by the IPCC.
I asked in my title whether this will be the final nail
in the coffin of Anthropenic Global Warming. This was
wishful thinking, of course. In the run up to
Copenhagen, we will see more and more hysterical (and
grotesquely exaggerated) stories such as this in the
Mainstream Media. And we will see ever-more-virulent
campaigns conducted by eco-fascist activists, such as
this risible new advertising campaign by Plane Stupid
showing CGI polar bears falling from the sky and
exploding because kind of, like, man, that's sort of
what happens whenever you take another trip on an
aeroplane.
The world is currently cooling; electorates are
increasingly reluctant to support eco-policies leading
to more oppressive regulation, higher taxes and higher
utility bills; the tide is turning against Al Gore's
Anthropogenic Global Warming theory. The so-called
“sceptical” view which is some of us have been
expressing for quite some time: see, for example, the
chapter entitled 'Barbecue the Polar Bears' in WELCOME
TO OBAMALAND: I'VE SEEN YOUR FUTURE AND IT DOESN'T WORK
is now also, thank heaven, the majority view.
Unfortunately, we've a long, long way to go before the
public mood (and scientific truth) is reflected by our
policy makers. There are too many vested interests in
AGW, with far too much to lose either in terms of
reputation or money, for this to end without a bitter
fight.
But to judge by the way despite the best efforts of the
MSM not to report on it the CRU scandal is spreading
like wildfire across the internet, this shabby story
represents a blow to the AGW lobby's credibility from
which it is never likely to recover.
ClimateGate: Meet the man who has exposed the great
climate change con trick
James Delingpole talks to PROFESSOR IAN PLIMER, the
Australian geologist, whose new book shows that
'anthropogenic global warming' is a dangerous, ruinously
exp ensive fiction, a 'first-world luxury' with no basis
in scientific fact. Shame on the publishers who rejected
the book!
Imagine how wonderful the world would be if man-made
global warming were just a figment of Al Gore's
imagination. No more ugly wind farms to darken our
sunlit uplands. No more whopping electricity bills,
artificially inflated by EU-imposed carbon taxes. No
longer any need to treat each warm, sunny day as though
it were some terrible harbinger of ecological doom. And
definitely no need for the $7.4 trillion cap and trade
(carbon-trading) bill the largest tax in American
history which President Obama and his cohorts are so
assiduously trying to impose on the US economy.
Imagine no more, for your fairy godmother is here. His
name is Ian Plimer, Professor of Mining Geology at
Adelaide University, and he has recently published the
landmark book Heaven And Earth, which is going to change
forever the way we think about climate change.
'The hypothesis that human activity can create global
warming is extraordinary because it is contrary to
validated knowledge from solar physics, astronomy,
history, archaeology and geology,' says Plimer, and
while his thesis is not new, you're unlikely to have
heard it expressed with quite such vigour, certitude or
wide-ranging scientific authority. Where fellow sceptics
like Bjorn Lomborg or Lord Lawson of Blaby are prepared
cautiously to endorse the International Panel on Climate
Change's (IPCC) more modest predictions, Plimer will
cede no ground whatsoever. Anthropogenic global warming
(AGW) theory, he argues, is the biggest, most dangerous
and ruinously expensive con trick in history.
To find out why, let's meet the good professor. He's a
tanned, rugged, white-haired sixtysomething courteous
and jolly but combative when he needs to be glowing with
the health of a man who spends half his life on field
expeditions to Iran, Turkey and his beloved Outback. And
he's sitting in my garden drinking tea on exactly the
kind of day the likes of the Guardian's George Monbiot
would probably like to ban. A lovely warm sunny one.
So go on then, Prof. What makes you sure that you're
right and all those scientists out there saying the
opposite are wrong? “I'm a geologist. We geologists have
always recognised that climate changes over time. Where
we differ from a lot of people pushing AGW is in our
understanding of scale. They're only interested in the
last 150 years. Our time frame is 4,567 million years.
So what they're doing is the equivalent of trying to
extrapolate the plot of Casablanca from one tiny bit of
the love scene. And you can't. It doesn't work.”
What Heaven And Earth sets out to do is restore a sense
of scientific perspective to a debate which has been
hijacked by 'politicians, environmental activists and
opportunists'. It points out, for example, that polar
ice has been present on earth for less than 20 per cent
of geological time; that extinctions of life are normal;
that climate changes are cyclical and random; that the
CO2 in the atmosphere to which human activity
contributes the tiniest fraction is only 0.001 per cent
of the total CO2 held in the oceans, surface rocks, air,
soils and life; that CO2 is not a pollutant but a plant
food; that the earth's warmer periods such as when the
Romans grew grapes and citrus trees as far north as
Hadrian's Wall were times of wealth and plenty.
All this is scientific fact which is more than you can
say for any of the computer models turning out doomsday
scenarios about inexorably rising temperatures, sinking
islands and collapsing ice shelves. Plimer doesn't trust
them because they seem to have little if any basis in
observed reality.
I'm a natural scientist. I'm out there every day, buried
up to my neck in sh*t, collecting raw data. And that's
why I'm so sceptical of these models, which have nothing
to do with science or empiricism but are about torturing
the data till it finally confesses. None of them
predicted this current period we're in of global
cooling. There is no problem with global warming. It
stopped in 1998. The last two years of global cooling
have erased nearly 30 years of temperature increase.'
Plimer's uncompromising position has not made him
popular. 'They say I rape cows, eat babies, that I know
nothing about anything. My favourite letter was the one
that said: “Dear sir, drop dead”. I've also had a demo
in Sydney outside one of my book launches, and I've had
mothers coming up to me with two-year-old children in
their arms saying: “Don't you have any kind of morality?
This child's future is being destroyed.''' Plimer's
response to the last one is typically robust. 'If you're
so concerned, why did you breed?'
This no-nonsense approach may owe something to the young
Ian's straitened Sydney upbringing. His father was
crippled w ith MS, leaving his mother to raise three
children on a schoolteacher's wage. 'We couldn't afford
a TV not that TV even arrived in Australia till 1956.
We'd use the same brown paper bag over and over again
for our school lunches, always turn off the lights, not
because of some moral imperative but out of sheer bloody
necessity.'
One of the things that so irks him about modern
environmentalism is that it is driven by people who are
'too wealthy'. 'When I try explaining “global warming”
to people in Iran or Turkey they have no idea what I'm
talking about. Their life is about getting through to
the next day, finding their next meal. Eco-guilt is a
first-world luxury. It's the new religion for urban
populations which have lost their faith in Christianity.
The IPCC report is their Bible. Al Gore and Lord Stern
are their prophets.'
Heaven And Earth is the offspring of a pop science book
Plimer published in 2001 called A Short History of
Planet Earth. It was based on ten years' worth of
broadcasts for ABC radio aimed mainly at people in rural
areas. Though the book was a bestseller and won a Eureka
prize, ABC refused to publish the follow-up; so did all
the other major publishers he approached: 'There's a lot
of fear out there. No one wants to go against the
popular paradigm.'
Then someone put him in touch with a tiny publishing
outfit in the middle of the bush 'husband, wife, three
kids, so poor they didn't even have curtains' and they
said yes. Plimer couldn't bring himself to accept an
advance they clearly couldn't afford. But then something
remarkable happened. In just two days, the book sold out
its 5,000 print run. Five further editions followed in
swift succession. It has now sold 26,500 copies in
Australia alone with similarly exciting prospects in
Britain and the US. There's even an edition coming out
in ultra-green Germany.
But surely Aussies of all people, with their bushfires
and prolonged droughts, ought to be the last to buy into
his message? 'Ah, but the average punter is not a fool.
I get sometimes as many as 1,000 letters and emails a
day from people who feel helpless and disenfranchised
and just bloody sick of all the nonsense they hear about
global warming from metropolitan liberals who don't even
know where meat or milk comes from.'
Besides which, Australia's economy is peculiarly
vulnerable to the effects of climate change alarmism.
'Though we have 40 % of the world's uranium, we don't
have nuclear energy. We're reliant mainly on bucketloads
of cheap coal. Eighty per cent of our electricity is
coal-generated and clustered around our coalfields are
our aluminium producers. The very last thing the
Australian economy needs is the cap and trade
legislation being proposed by Kevin Rudd. If it gets
passed, the country will go broke.'
Not for one second does Plimer believe it will get
passed. As with its US equivalent the Waxman-Markey cap
and trade bill, Kevin Rudd's Emission Trading Scheme
legislation narrowly squeaked its way through the House
of Representatives. But again as in America, the real
challenge lies with the upper house, the Senate. Thanks
in good measure to the influence of Plimer and his book
'I have politicians ringing me all the time' the Senate
looks likely to reject the bill. If it does so twice,
then the Australian government will collapse, a 'double
dissolution' will be forced and a general election
called. 'Australia is at a very interesting point in the
climate change debate,' says Plimer.
The potential repercussions outside Oz, of course, are
even greater. Until this year, environmental legislation
has enjoyed a pretty easy ride through the parliaments
of the Anglosphere and the Eurosphere, with
greener-than-thou politicians (from Dave 'Windmill'
Cameron to Dave 'climate change deniers are the flat-earthers
of the 21st century' Miliband) queuing up to impose ever
more stringent carbon emissions targets and taxes on
their hapless electorates.
In the days when most people felt rich enough to absorb
these extra costs and guilty enough to think they
probably deserved them, the politicians could get away
with it. But the global economic meltdown has changed
all that. As countless opinion surveys have shown, the
poorer people feel, the lower down their list of
priorities ecological righteousness sinks. 'It's one of
the few good things to come out of this recession,' says
Plimer. 'People are starting to ask themselves: “Can we
really afford this green legislation?”'
Reading Plimer's Heaven And Earth is at once an
enlightening and terrifying experience. Enlightening
because, after 500 pages of heavily annotated prose (the
fruit of five years' research), you are left in no doubt
that man's contribution to the thing they now call
'climate change' was, is and probably always will be
negligible. Terrifying, because you cannot but be
appalled by how much money has been wasted, how much
unnecessary regulation drafted because of a 'problem'
that doesn't actually exist. (South Park, as so often,
was probably the first to point this out in a memorable
episode where Al Gore turns up to warn the school kids
about a terrible beast, looking a bit like the Gruffalo,
known as ManBearPig.)
Has it come in time to save the day, though? If there's
any justice, Heaven And Earth will do for the cause of
climate change realism what Al Gore's An Inconvenient
Truth did for climate change alarmism. But as Plimer
well knows, there is now a powerful and very extensive
body of vested interests up against him: governments
like President Obama's, which intend to use 'global
warming' as an excuse for greater taxation, regulation
and protectionism; energy companies and investors who
stand to make a fortune from scams like carbon trading;
charitable bodies like Greenpeace which depend for their
funding on public anxiety; environmental correspondents
who need constantly to talk up the threat to justify
their jobs.
Does he really believe his message will ever get
through? Plimer smiles. 'If you'd asked any scientist or
doctor 30 years ago where stomach ulcers come from, they
would all have given the same answer: obviously it comes
from the acid brought on by too much stress. All of them
apart from two scientists who were pilloried for their
crazy, whacko theory that it was caused by a bacteria.
In 2005 they won the Nobel prize. The “consensus” was
wrong.' (Courtesy: Spectator)
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